Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 86.790293 96.881482 107.186674 118.467204 130.438180 142.734649 156.291647
2025-02-09 70.199851 84.624869 100.003700 117.497038 136.725598 157.107960 180.238292
2025-02-16 59.749990 76.445216 94.831655 116.332697 140.548284 166.760745 197.066941
2025-02-23 52.945951 71.387470 92.273778 117.266738 145.972779 177.562020 214.611305
2025-03-02 46.869003 66.472511 89.270622 117.132480 149.698664 186.054550 229.220413
2025-03-09 42.223825 62.793908 87.306479 117.833543 154.064397 195.012332 244.135429
2025-03-16 37.263209 58.277421 83.963257 116.567703 155.854094 200.790205 255.234513
2025-03-23 34.332809 56.077123 83.233506 118.251810 160.966397 210.291660 270.521140
2025-03-30 31.891922 54.302588 82.864775 120.234074 166.324202 220.002469 285.999980
2025-04-06 28.567786 51.072219 80.432201 119.477275 168.227609 225.533668 296.516952
2025-04-13 24.886988 47.048583 76.730983 116.915970 167.753336 228.102555 303.438574
2025-04-20 23.941387 46.847508 78.019687 120.670541 175.042657 239.954481 321.346772
2025-04-27 22.621203 46.028996 78.456852 123.344911 181.047352 250.356051 337.674962
2025-05-04 20.107201 43.222097 76.041485 122.190118 182.172799 254.799721 346.867094
2025-05-11 17.836873 40.590521 73.715077 121.022809 183.178098 259.017833 355.727056
2025-05-18 16.410508 39.183182 73.028079 121.975491 186.838493 266.463469 368.468445
2025-05-25 14.800494 37.329616 71.596030 121.838612 189.036025 272.062629 378.946212
2025-06-01 13.558007 35.988428 70.833738 122.556479 192.299356 278.959658 390.994676
2025-06-08 11.919944 33.790050 68.681329 121.260108 192.860314 282.433930 398.821112
2025-06-15 11.134510 33.068862 68.715096 122.984824 197.377704 290.864917 412.742149
2025-06-22 10.474772 32.523441 68.981758 125.014594 202.288747 299.793600 427.290526
2025-06-29 9.271110 30.798248 67.324340 124.239695 203.415324 303.903312 435.862397
2025-07-06 7.822243 28.390704 64.455039 121.616790 201.980420 304.695093 440.268210